Donna, I am curious to know if you think the early voting is a sign of increased overall turnout or do you think it is "cannibalizing" (hate that term, but everyone is using it) the normal vote count early?
Donna, I am curious to know if you think the early voting is a sign of increased overall turnout or do you think it is "cannibalizing" (hate that term, but everyone is using it) the normal vote count early?
Maybe a little of both - I think the hard core Conservatives are voting early as Trump and a lot of conservative talking heads like Bongino are pounding the table about doing so. At the doors in a working class area this past 2 weeks finding very few who claim to have voted and many of these are infrequent voters according to the door knocking app I am using (for what it's worth) So long lines would discourage them, so the more who vote early, could take the pressure off the lines on election day that may discourage more casual voters. As for the dozen or so of my friends I have talked to who are waiting in those hellish lines to vote, the results are mixed about their fellow line goers. Some say turnout skews red, while other claim a lot of unfriendly blue voters. Hubby waited in line for an hour yesterday and said he just talked sports with the people he was in line with and was no help at all, haha. Also there is an abortion amendment on our ballot in MO and THAT is motivating the lefties to turn out but also the pro-lifers. My totally non political cousin is out knocking doors for the first time in her life for the pro-life side, so I do think turnout in MO is going to be heavy but also skewed around the abortion vote.
Was listening to Bongino while I was doing laundry - had to stop and re-watch - this is HUGE. Low propensity voters are TURNING OUT - BIGLY. 613k GA voters who stayed home in 2020 have already voted - in mostly Republican areas. In VA, early voting of both frequent and infrequent voters is R by big margins. Fast forward to the 20 minute mark: https://rumble.com/v5l50yq-the-best-sign-yet-that-kamala-is-freaking-out-ep.-2363-11012024.html
Yes, it's a horrible amendment, MO would go from one of the most restrictive states to one of the most permissive, Of course the devil is in details and few voters actually go online and read the entire amendment.
Donna, I am curious to know if you think the early voting is a sign of increased overall turnout or do you think it is "cannibalizing" (hate that term, but everyone is using it) the normal vote count early?
Maybe a little of both - I think the hard core Conservatives are voting early as Trump and a lot of conservative talking heads like Bongino are pounding the table about doing so. At the doors in a working class area this past 2 weeks finding very few who claim to have voted and many of these are infrequent voters according to the door knocking app I am using (for what it's worth) So long lines would discourage them, so the more who vote early, could take the pressure off the lines on election day that may discourage more casual voters. As for the dozen or so of my friends I have talked to who are waiting in those hellish lines to vote, the results are mixed about their fellow line goers. Some say turnout skews red, while other claim a lot of unfriendly blue voters. Hubby waited in line for an hour yesterday and said he just talked sports with the people he was in line with and was no help at all, haha. Also there is an abortion amendment on our ballot in MO and THAT is motivating the lefties to turn out but also the pro-lifers. My totally non political cousin is out knocking doors for the first time in her life for the pro-life side, so I do think turnout in MO is going to be heavy but also skewed around the abortion vote.
Very interesting. I appreciate your observations and comments. I really hope the pro-life side is victorious.
Was listening to Bongino while I was doing laundry - had to stop and re-watch - this is HUGE. Low propensity voters are TURNING OUT - BIGLY. 613k GA voters who stayed home in 2020 have already voted - in mostly Republican areas. In VA, early voting of both frequent and infrequent voters is R by big margins. Fast forward to the 20 minute mark: https://rumble.com/v5l50yq-the-best-sign-yet-that-kamala-is-freaking-out-ep.-2363-11012024.html
Yes, it's a horrible amendment, MO would go from one of the most restrictive states to one of the most permissive, Of course the devil is in details and few voters actually go online and read the entire amendment.