โ๏ธ C&C NEWS โ Saturday, November 12, 2022 โ RED ON RED ๐ฆ
โ๏ธ C&C NEWS โ Saturday, November 12, 2022 โ RED ON RED ๐ฆ
My take on the Trump-DeSantis dustup; lessons from the elections; ghost stories of the neo-apocalypse; high schooler beats trans wokeness; FBI starts preparing for a Republican House; and more.
Happy Saturday, and welcome to the weekend edition! As promised, the roundup includes: the Trump-Desantis story; thoughts about this election and the next one; ghost stories of the neo-apocalypse; election news; high-schooler beats trans madness with help from lawyers; and the FBI makes some personnel changes anticipating a Republican House.
๐*COFFEE AND COMMENTARY* ๐
๐ฅ Wherefore art thou, Romeo? Iโm considering starting a new regular feature: the ghost-story. These would be the news items that, for various reasons, the corporate media SHOULD be covering, but arenโt. Theyโve become angry invisible spirits, vexing us with their absence.
1. MonkeyPox.
We knew thee well, MoneyPox. Ten minutes ago it was a national emergency. Now I dare you to find even one corporate media story on the โgood newsโ that monkeypox turned out to be a big fat Brokeback Mountain nothing-burger.
2. Paul Pelosi / David DePape.
Two weeks ago it was a a hot-take phenomenon! First there was a new wave of rightwing, hammer-wielding insurrectionists wearing only tight white underpants. Then it briefly morphed into โrepublicans pounce.โ Now that weโve had time for reporters to actually dig into facts of the story, abcracadabra, itโs disapparated! Vamoosed! High-tailed it! Lit out for the border!
Oh. And thereโs STILL no security video.
Out, damned spot of inconvenient news!
3. Excess Deaths.
In case you needed to find cause to fire the entire corporate media without notice or benefits, perhaps theyโre ignoring the excess deaths story will fit the bill. Um, NORMALLY the corporate media LOVES a good โmysterious deathsโ story. But despite the undeniable existence of massive waves of excess non-covid deaths, starting in 2021 and increasing in 2022, in every highly-jabbed nation in the world, corporate media remains as silent as the tomb.
Maybe the reason corporate media is so quiet is that it, itself, is just another excess death victim. Maybe itโs already died, and now weโre just watching the media corpseโs noisy decomposition.
๐ฅ On Thursday, Trump shocked and infuriated lots of Republican voters after he posted a spicy series of Truths (like tweets) on his social media network. They were mostly mildly critical of Governor DeSantis, but were infused with the traditional disrespectful Trump tone โ and in a couple places, were arguably downright insulting.
It didnโt come out of nowhere. The day before, on Wednesday, the entire corporate media apparatus turned on Trump like a flock of seagulls chasing a tossed bread crust. Nearly every major corporate media outlet featured an anti-Trump cover story. It was obviously coordinated.
At the very least, the broad media coordination proved that GOP elites are working together to prevent Trumpโs nomination. Iโm not the only one who noticed:
The next day, Trump posted a series of inflammatory comments about how heโd helped Governor DeSantis win his election, and said this:
More troubling, Trump also unfortunately suggested that, as President, heโd gotten involved in Broward Countyโs 2018 election to help DeSantis win โ by preventing cheating โ but the lamentable comment fueled fresh new BlueAnon theories of โelection interferenceโ and โinsurrection:โ
Corporate media excitedly ran with the story: red-on-red conflict! The popular corporate media take was it proved Trump is too deranged and reckless to be president:
But some commenters see the entire story as a made-up distraction at best, or at worst, a new deep-state / corporate media effort to pit conservatives against each other:
But other commenters see Trumpโs comments as a wily, 4-D chess move, or even a brilliant rope-a-dope:
Trump himself fed that narrative yesterday, by โre-Truthingโ (forwarding with approval) a comment suggesting that he and DeSantis were really working together:
Meanwhile, DeSantis has smartly stayed out of it, intelligently refraining from commenting on the โlatest thing that President Trump said.โ
There is a much simpler possible explanation about the brouhaha than all these various theories. Despite all the chatter, Trump isnโt actually running for President right now. He is running for the REPUBLICAN NOMINATION.
Remember the last nomination season, back in 2015? The GOP ran SEVENTEEN nominees. Trump was thought least likely to win. Even the democrats secretly supported Trump, mistakenly thinking heโd be easiest to beat. Do you remember what that primary season was like? Trump made up derogatory nicknames for all his opponents.
Remember โLittle Marco?โ Remember when he told CNN Megyn Kelly probably had blood coming out of her โwhateverโ? In comparison, โDeSanctimoniousโ is pretty mild.
So, the simplest explanation for why Trump would go after DeSantis, even relatively mildly, is because the primary race has begun. This is what Trump does. And before anyone gets too high and mighty about it, Trump is only doing publicly what they ALL do behind the scenes.
What is โopposition research,โ if not viciously attacking another candidate while pretending to be above the fray?
It looks to me like on Wednesday, the GOP viciously attacked Trump to boost DeSantisโ primary chances, and on Thursday Trump pushed back a little. I donโt know about all the other more complicated theories. Neither does anyone else.
Remember Occamโs razor. The simplest explanation is usually the best.
๐ Both the liberals and the GOP elite would like to broom the MAGA movement into the dustbin of history, just like they did with the Tea Party. I have four humble suggestions to avoid giving the liberals and the GOP elites what they want, or โ Heaven help us โ accidentally encouraging the formation of a third party.
My thoughts:
1) Donโt overreact to primary season politics.
2) Donโt put Trump, DeSantis, or anyone else on a pedestal or excuse them from the normal rules. Avoid the โSupermanโ fallacy. We are STILL going to have to save ourselves. LOCAL elections remain the best place to focus your time and energy.
3) Make sure YOU donโt contribute to an un-civil environment that helps fracture conservative unity or drive MAGA people toward a third party effort. Trump needs to stay in the Republican Party and run for the nomination, with all that entails. EXPECT the nominees to attack each other.
4) Donโt attack other conservatives; feel free to go after people for fostering conflict, but not about holding different opinions or even promoting something false. Contradict false facts with links to the truth and not with angry rhetoric.
5) Finally, allow for the possibility that there could be strategies unfolding behind the scenes that we donโt fully understand. So always view the latest narrative skeptically, keep your powder dry, and stay positive.
I realize not everyone agrees with my prescription. Thatโs okay. But what *I* will be doing is trying to stop a wedge from being driven between conservatives, and trying to shut down any discussion of third parties.
A civil and fair nomination race is critically important.
๐ฅ The difficult fact is Republicans underperformed in last weekโs elections, despite the fact that voters said the economy was their number one issue, and despite that many democrat candidates were, shall we say, deeply flawed.
For one standout example, newly-elected democrat Senator John Fetterman canโt even finish a sentence, canโt wear normal clothes, and wonโt release any of his medical records. A medium-sized squid should have been able to beat him.
Itโs obviously not about total votes. Republicans got six million more votes nationally than democrats. Republicans were more organized than weโve ever been. We were more motivated than weโve ever been. Everybody, even democrats, expected a much larger red wave.
It might have something to do with funding and organization. As much improvement as weโve shown, the Republicans still arenโt well enough organized to win big, even with all their structural advantages this year.
Remember, we may not have all these same advantages in 2024. Two years is a long time in politics.
Regarding funding, Democrats have massively outraised conservatives. According to a report from Conservative HQ, liberal nonprofits raised about seven times more money in the last decade than have conservative nonprofits ($21+ billion vs. $3-4 billion). Granted, they also have deep state friends constantly directing federal grant money their way, but itโs not the whole story.
Liberal non-profits also have seven times more DONORS than conservative nonprofits (20+ million donors vs. 3-4 million for conservatives), and liberals have more than TEN TIMES as many single-issue nonprofits compared to conservatives (over 20,000 for dems versus only about 2,000 for conservatives). Taking one issue as an example, pro-abortion nonprofits have 1000% more donors than do pro-life groups, and have raised 1,000% more money than have the pro-lifers.
Those issue dollars translate into support for aligned candidates in specific races all across the country.
Democrats had so much money this year that they even invested to promote REPUBLICAN candidates who they thought they could more easily beat. Notice in the following clip that Ms. Hobbes is talking about a NATIONAL strategy, not just one for Arizona:
Here are two examples of how better organization translates into votes.
Democrats have massive ballot-harvesting operations in states where itโs legal (and maybe otherwise), and drive voter turnout from the first day mail-in balloting starts all the way through Election Day, whereas Republicans have no organized harvesting strategy, and focus only on vote-driving for one day: Election Day.
Hereโs another one. Have you heard of โSouls to the Polls,โ the democrat-party-organized program for black churches to bus members from church to the voting booth the Sunday before Election Day? Whereโs the Republican response? Itโs not like they donโt know about the problem. Hereโs an article discussing it from back in MARCH: โChurchy Republicans Attack โSouls to the Pollsโ.โ
While itโs tempting to try to find one explanation, itโs not just a โcheatingโ problem. Thatโs a convenient excuse and a distraction. Iโm not saying it doesnโt exist and isnโt a real problem. Iโm sure there was plenty of it going around, especially in certain areas. Iโm just saying that cheating is not the whole picture.
Every one of us knows or know of a bunch of folks who voted for democrats โ including Fetterman! โ even though mayonnaise costs three times more than it did two years ago, and Joe Biden is practically waving nuclear warheads at Russia and daring them to start something.
At first glance, Florida seems like pretty good evidence that widespread cheating was to blame for Tuesdayโs poor national results. Florida spent two years tightening up elections laws, eliminating no-cause mail-in-voting, criminalizing harvesting, creating an elections-crimes unit, and cracking down on ballot drop-off boxes.
And then, Florida DID see a red wave. Imagine that. So, you say, we need to fix the elections laws, like in Florida. But thatโs easier said than done.
The standout state of Florida, where the red wave did appear, enjoyed certain structural advantages not enjoyed by other states. Mainly, Republicans held the governorship, the House, and the Senate, and so were ABLE to plug many of the problematic voting holes highlighted by 2020s experience. But itโs not just that, Florida also benefited from a massive conservative in-migration and an incredibly popular, successful, and well-supported state government.
But thatโs not the whole answer either. Holding the governorship and state congress is not sufficient because Texas also had the legislature and the executive, the Lone Star State also benefited from conservative migration, but for some reason it did not enjoy the same solid results as Florida. It should have.
Even if by 2024 Joe Biden can only communicate in Morse Code by winking one eye or squeezing Kamalaโs finger, itโs still going to be a brutal fight, and a close, close race, regardless of whether the Republican nominee is Trump or DeSantis or Lake or any another candidate. If they voted for Fetterman, theyโll vote for Biden no matter how incoherent he is.
Conservatives MUST get better organized. Biden only won because of about six large counties. Theyโre playing Moneyball, right down to precinct level. Republicans need to expect cheating in counties under total blue control, and have strategies for countering it.
There are ways. For example, Arizona conservatives used a clever strategy this week of dropping off their mail-in ballots on Election Day, to confound cheating attempts. Because mail-in ballots are counted last, the strategy made it harder for cheaters to know how many extra ballots they need.
That means our think tanks need to start earning their keep, or weโll need new ones.
๐ฅ More outlets are projecting Republican Sheriff Joe Lombardo will flip Nevadaโs governorship.
๐ฅ After a sudden overnight uptick in democrat votes, Mark Kelly is now projected to beat Blake McMasters for Arizona Senate.
๐ฅ The New American ran a story yesterday headlined, โVermont High School Backs Down Over โTransgenderโ Incident After ADF Files a First Amendment Lawsuit.โ
Earlier this year, a Vermont high-school disciplined girlsโ soccer player Blake Allen, whoโd complained about a boy who watched her undress in the locker room. School officials accused the girl of โmisgenderingโ the boy, by calling him a boy, and ordered her to attend a โrestorative circle,โ whatever that is.
Officials also required her father, Travis, who was the girlsโ soccer coach, to publicly apologize after he commented about his daughterโs suspension on social media.
The Allens contacted the Alliance Defending Freedom, who filed a 124-page lawsuit against the school. Shortly thereafter, the schoolโs superintended rescinded the disciplinary actions.
Iโd like to say that reason prevailed, but we all know the school only backed down because of the threat of legal action.
๐ฅ The deep state is doing some housekeeping in advance of likely Republican control of the House. The Daily Wire ran a story yesterday headlined, โTop FBI Official Who Led Whitmer Kidnapping Plot, J6 Investigations To Retire.โ
According to the story, FBI Director Chris Wray announced yesterday that Steven DโAntuono, who currently runs the D.C. field office, will retire from the FBI and will be replaced before the end of the year. In other words, before he can be required as a government employee to testify before Congress.
Agent DโAntuono infamously ran the Detroit field office while the FBI coordinated the kidnapping of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. He was then promoted to supervise the D.C. office, to oversee the January 6th investigations and prosecutions.
There is probably a LOT of stuff that Congressional Republicans would like to ask Mr. DโAntuono about. So heโs about to become scarce. I wonder if heโll move to Italy with the Pelosiโs and Dr. Fauci?
Anyway, I say good riddance. Itโs one way to drain the swamp.
Have a super-fantastic Saturday, and Iโll see you all back here on Monday morning to kick off another energizing week of Coffee & Covid.
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The Democrats are laughing at our infighting. The 2018 California midterms led the way on their effective ballot harvesting. For the life of me, I can not figure out how Republican leadership acts like it doesn't exist. Until we do the same, we have no chance. It doesn't matter who we put up. Our party ignorance on the harvesting feels deliberate on some level. In 2020, Democrats had to shut down the states to pull if off. This time, they didn't have to. By 2024, the operation will be seamless. What is going on on our side?????
Regarding elections, I will say that the local GOP people need to start holding their own GOP leadership accountable.
I helped โcountโ mail in and early ballots at my county count location Tuesday. โCountโ because all we were doing was checking for clerk initials and matching precinct locations on the ballots. Machines were doing the counting.
Anyway, we had apparently an estimated 70,000 ballots. Not sorted or organized by precinct. Yay {not} for being a vote center county where precinct level voting is passรฉ and too inconvenient. {Because freedom is always convenient.}. Do you realize that if we needed a hand recount of a precinct-level vote, or township level - say for school board, or a tax referendum, or a Precinct Committeemen - who is realistically going to sift through 70,000 unorganized ballots to find the few that belong to the particular precincts in question. I mean, I think we have hundred of precincts in our county??
And our local GOP appears to not mind this.
Our local GOP has been โkeeping an eye onโ the Konnech scandal.
When I actually ran into the GOP appointee to our election board at the count center, and asked for her email to discuss some concerns about the primaries, she replied that she had already seen my email and the issues were just that I wasnโt experienced working the polls. I pointed out that lack of bipartisan presence at voter checkin was not a matter of experience or education. And that, why, yes, I *had* brought it up to my inspector, but he didnโt care. Crickets from her. No concern, no outrage, no anything. As far as the broken printers, which also had nothing to do with my lack of experience or education, well, she said, thatโs why we have the Inspector Hotline and mechanics. She was utterly unconcerned about the inconvenience to voters (even though the tag line for the county election board is something like easy and fast. Or something. I mean, convenience is the whole reason for vote centers, and vote centers are why we canโt have paper ballots....).
We have got to hold our county GOP people accountable. Go to the monthly meetings. Attend the election board meetings. Run for Precinct Committeeman (I hear itโs an easy job.). Call them and offer to help. Do something.